Potential Oscar Contenders
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Directed by David Fincher(Zodiac, Se7en, Fight Club, and etc.)
Starring Brad Pitt, Academy Award-winning Cate Blancett, and recently Academy Award-winning Tilda Swinton
Written by Eric Roth(Munich, Ali, The Insider, Forrest Gump, and etc.)
Plot outline: Tells the story of Benjamin Button, a man who starts aging backwards with bizarre consequences.
Reasons why it will probably get nominations and wins:
a) Zodiac could have potentially done well at this year's Oscars but mainly due to its ridiculously early release date, it didn't get any nominations. This film has a nice Q4 release date, making it a a reasonable pick as a potential contender and they could possibly use nominating this film as a way to apologize for snubbing Zodiac.
b) Brad Pitt has only been nominated once for an Oscar and didn't win.
c) They love Cate Blanchett and must love Tilda Swinton maybe even more at the moment for giving her Best Supporting Actress.
d) Period piece.
f) Just look at Fincher and Roth's previous work.
Likelihood of getting a nomination: Very likely and could very well be the frontrunner of next year's Oscars.
The Changeling
Directed by Clint Eastwood
Starring Angelina Jolie, Amy Ryan, and John Malkovich
Written by J. Michael Straczynski(a bunch of Babylon 5 shit...)
Plot outline: A mother's prayer for her kidnapped son to return home is answered, though it doesn't take long for her to suspect the boy who comes back is not hers.
Reasons why it will probably get nominations and wins:
a) Look at Clint's track record. Every movie he's made since Mystic River has gotten nominations of some kind.
b) Angelina Jolie didn't get a nomination for her atrocious yet critically hailed performance in A Mighty Heart this year. The Academy could use this opportunity to make that up.
c) Amy Ryan is all the rage these days because of her turn in Gone Baby Gone.
d) John Malkovich is relatively respectable.
e) Period piece.
f) November release date.
Not sure about that writer but I'm not sure it matters that much since Million Dollar Baby won Best Picture and it was written by Paul "I created Walker Texas Ranger and wrote and directed Crash" Haggis.
Likelihood of getting a nomination: I think it would be borderline impossible for this not to get an Oscar. I'd say Jolie is a frontrunner for Best Actress but I'm not sure about everything else.
Milk
Directed by Gus Van Sant(Good Will Hunting, Finding Forrester, My Own Private Idaho, and etc.)
Starring Sean Penn, Emile Hirsch, James Franco, and Josh Brolin
Written by Dustin Lance Black(nothing particular...)
Plot outline: The story of California's first openly gay elected official, Harvey Milk, a San Francisco supervisor who was assassinated along with Mayor George Moscone by San Francisco Supervisor Dan White.
Reasons why it will probably get nominations and wins:
a) After indulging himself with his Tarr-influenced arthouse fare(Gerry, Elephant, and Last Days), Hollywood could use this as way to welcome Van Sant back.
b) Has a natural liberal guilt-type sympathy "important" atmosphere built into it.
c) Emile Hirsch wasn't nominated for Into the Wild and they could use this to make up for the snub.
d) Josh Brolin is all the craze with No Country and American Gangster.
e) Period piece.
f) Sean Penn.
The story is not exactly uplifting but after recent years, that doesn't seem too big of a problem. The screenwriter is a bit of an unknown, though.
Likelihood of getting a nomination: Very likely.
The Argentine
Reasons why it will probably get nominations and wins:
Likelihood of getting a nomination:
Wall-E
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Frost/Nixon
The Soloist
Defiance
Blindness
Burn After Reading
Body of Lies
Australia
The Duchess
Valkyrie
The Road
Synecdoche, New York
I'll add some more... Later...